2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and decide

The 2012 Euro Cup is into the final four teams, when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon are going to playing to handle the winner in the Spain vs. Portugal game which takes place later today.
Recent history between these teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't care about yesteryear, they may be devoted to the game at hand.
The German squad haven't beaten Italy in the competitive match.
"We can't turn back time, ignore regarding it, earlier times doesn't play a role within our planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is the fact that Germany has not won against more info Italy in a very major tournament, but precisely what?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it's time for Germany to win as they are the favourite at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game will probably be a hardcore, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong method for this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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